Black Swans and Elephants This week has got off to a risk-on start, appetite for equities fired by the Goldman Sachs comments pushing oil further. Recovery has been seen in commodity currencies. There are serious roadblocks ahead and not all the analysts agree with...
Some warnings have been heard in various parts of the interconnected market place and a very distinct risk-off sentiment has gathered pace as the week unfolded. Equities have been particularly weak, as concerns grow over corporate earnings and the warnings of a bear...
As we prepared last Monday for three central banks we did so with an accepted market wide bias. Three decisions, two surprises and one outrage followed and the market showed its shock. The BOJ stand accused of at best misleading the market and at worst, according to...
Another look at the underlying fundamentals , the market sentiment and where the opportunities may be lurking. It is not an easy market, but as any professional knows there are ways to gain an edge. It begins with understanding the drivers and the global macro...
D-day was Sunday as we headed into the Opec /Non opec meeting in Doha. For some, including the writer, the move up in the crude market which preceded it was more about the prospect than the result, which is why we buy rumour and sell fact. The fact here is that there...
With the YEN steaming ahead during the last week you would be justified in the view that risk aversion had made its presence felt. The S&P500 and global equities continue to look precarious and vulnerable as we head into the US earnings season. There were however...
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